Here's where the various models and markets have the race:
Electoral CollegePEC: >99% Dem. (308 Clinton EV)
HuffPost: 98% Dem. (323 Clinton EV)
PredictWise: 89% Dem. (323 Clinton EV)
DailyKos: 88% Dem. (323 Clinton EV)
NYT Upshot: 84% Dem. (322 Clinton EV)
BettingOdds: 82% Dem. (323 Clinton EV)
538 Polls-only: 69% Dem. (322 Clinton EV)
538 Polls-plus: 70% Dem. (322 Clinton EV)
If you look at individual swing states/districts, here are Clinton's probabilities according to those models:
Swing StatesState | | | PrincetonEC | | | HuffPost | | | PredictWise | | | DailyKos | | | NYT Upshot | | | BettingOdds | | | 538-Only | | | 538-Plus |
New Hampshire | | | 79% | | | 91% | | | 88% | | | 96% | | | 76% | | | 75% | | | 69% | | | 69% |
Nevada | | | 74% | | | 83% | | | 95% | | | 56% | | | 70% | | | 83% | | | 57% | | | 59% |
Florida | | | 74% | | | 89% | | | 95% | | | 56% | | | 70% | | | 67% | | | 54% | | | 53% |
North Carolina | | | 43% | | | 88% | | | 60% | | | 59% | | | 66% | | | 55% | | | 54% | | | 53% |
Ohio | | | 37% | | | 37% | | | 31% | | | 15% | | | 45% | | | 33% | | | 36% | | | 37% |
Maine (CD 2) | | | 71% | | | 50% | | | 47% | | | N/A | | | 38% | | | N/A | | | 49% | | | 51% |
Iowa | | | 26% | | | 14% | | | 16% | | | 3% | | | 38% | | | 17% | | | 30% | | | 31% |
Nebraska (CD 2) | | | 8% | | | 50% | | | 18% | | | N/A | | | 22% | | | N/A | | | 38% | | | 37% |
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For the senate, their estimates for a Democratic majority are:
SenatePEC: 79% Dem. (50 Dem seats)
HuffPost: 91% Dem. (51 Dem seats)
PredictWise: 67% Dem. (50 Dem seats)
DailyKos: 66% Dem. (51 Dem seats)
NYT Upshot: 55% Dem. (50 Dem seats)
BettingOdds: 59% Dem. (50 Dem seats)
538 Polls-only: 49% Dem. (50 Dem seats)
538 Polls-plus: 49% Dem. (49 Dem seats)
Competitive Senate SeatsState | | | PrincetonEC | | | HuffPost | | | PredictWise | | | DailyKos | | | NYT Upshot | | | BettingOdds | | | 538-Only | | | 538-Plus |
Wisconsin | | | 67% | | | 98% | | | 86% | | | 74% | | | 72% | | | 82% | | | 76% | | | 81% |
Pennsylvania | | | 80% | | | 97% | | | 81% | | | 83% | | | 64% | | | 78% | | | 63% | | | 61% |
Nevada | | | 80% | | | 63% | | | 74% | | | 67% | | | 61% | | | 73% | | | 53% | | | 59% |
New Hampshire | | | 44% | | | 79% | | | 54% | | | 52% | | | 52% | | | 58% | | | 48% | | | 52% |
Indiana | | | 50% | | | 88% | | | 30% | | | 61% | | | 42% | | | 67% | | | 36% | | | 31% |
Missouri | | | 38% | | | 41% | | | 35% | | | 39% | | | 39% | | | 62% | | | 43% | | | 42% |
North Carolina | | | 44% | | | 12% | | | 32% | | | 35% | | | 38% | | | 64% | | | 30% | | | 26% |
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Looks like Clinton is a favorite, although not as much as Obama was four years ago. Also looks like the Senate could go either way.